{"id":1300766,"date":"2021-02-19T09:02:11","date_gmt":"2021-02-19T09:02:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pressenza.com\/?p=1300766"},"modified":"2021-02-19T09:02:11","modified_gmt":"2021-02-19T09:02:11","slug":"catalunya-despres-de-sant-valenti-i-ara-que","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pressenza.com\/ca\/2021\/02\/catalunya-despres-de-sant-valenti-i-ara-que\/","title":{"rendered":"Catalunya despr\u00e9s de Sant Valent\u00ed: I ara qu\u00e8?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Primer de tot entonar un mea culpa<\/em>: tal com s’havia desenvolupat, ja no la campanya, sin\u00f3 l’organitzaci\u00f3 de les eleccions era dels qui pensava que m\u00e9s d’una taula no es constituiria i que hi hauria\u00a0 problemes grossos durant les votacions. La meva visi\u00f3 apocal\u00edptica no s’ha complert, perqu\u00e8 hi ha un \u00e0ngel de la guarda de la democr\u00e0cia, anomenat gent,<\/strong> que amb la seva feina, el seu sentit del deure i el seu comportament c\u00edvic, han aconseguit unes eleccions normals en temps anormals. La participaci\u00f3 ha estat m\u00e9s elevada que en les eleccions gallegues i basques que van tenir lloc en una situaci\u00f3 epidemiol\u00f2gica molt millor. Aquest cop Cassandra no tenia ra\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Qui pot reclamar la vict\u00f2ria leg\u00edtimament? Si l’efecte Illa tenia com a objectiu recuperar el primer lloc en vots, indiscutiblement tenien ra\u00f3 en la maniobra. Per\u00f2 si l’efecte Illa era acabar amb governs independentistes,\u00a0 doncs no.\u00a0 Un frac\u00e0s rotund. L’\u00fanica possibilitat d’Illa d’arribar a la presid\u00e8ncia de la Generalitat passa per ERC. El bloc constitucionalista, o del 155,\u00a0\u00a0 qualifiqui-ho el lector al gust,\u00a0 \u00e9s irrellevant a efectes d’un possible govern. Per molt que repeteixin\u00a0\u00a0 frases de vict\u00f2ria un cop i un altre cop la realitat no s’amaga: Illa no ser\u00e0 president, per molt que anunci\u00ef que es presentar\u00e0 a la investidura. Es presenta a la investidura del parlament qui proposa el president del Parlament, despr\u00e9s de\u00a0 converses\u00a0 amb les forces pol\u00edtiques. No som en un sistema presidencialista, estem en un sistema parlamentari. Menteixen quan diuen que els catalans han triat l’Illa.\u00a0 I ho fan conscientment. A m\u00e9s, per la mateixa ra\u00f3, Ernest Maragall hauria d’haver estat alcalde de Barcelona… 5.000 vots m\u00e9s que la llista dels comuns d\u2019Ada Colau…; el 14 F deixa 50.000 vots de difer\u00e8ncia entre PSC i ERC.
\nPer cert la remuntada del PSC era m\u00e9s que previsible en els mesos d’octubre i novembre en veure les previsions de Ciutadans, que anunciaven ja una davallada hist\u00f2rica. Gran part dels vots prestats el 2017 han tornat.<\/p>\n

El veritable guanyador \u00e9s ERC:<\/p>\n

– finalment ha superat en unes eleccions al Parlament als nois\u00a0 i noies de Puigdemont.<\/p>\n

– no li ha passat factura la gesti\u00f3 de la pand\u00e8mia; per\u00f2 cert que tamb\u00e9 ha ajudat el fet que l’Illa ministre de sanitat fos el n\u00famero 1 del PSC… ja no et fixes en el sis i el nou. Una altra q\u00fcesti\u00f3 \u00e9s que els catalans i catalanes potser haurem de reflexionar sobre la manca d’exig\u00e8ncia de responsabilitat pol\u00edtica per la pand\u00e8mia en unes eleccions.<\/p>\n

– pot mirar als dos costats, ja que t\u00e9 una opci\u00f3 de govern independentista amb Junts i si cal la CUP, i una altra opci\u00f3, de centreesquerra amb PSC i els Comuns.
\nAquesta posici\u00f3 central deixa Pere Aragon\u00e8s com a Napole\u00f3, amb plena llibertat de decidir l’estrat\u00e8gia de pactes, i ocupar, a m\u00e9s, la posici\u00f3 dominant respecte a Junts i, per tant, amb capacitat per\u00a0 assumir la Presid\u00e8ncia i les conselleries m\u00e9s rellevants.<\/p>\n

S’ho empassar\u00e0 Puigdemont? Ja ho veurem, per\u00f2 a Aragon\u00e9s sempre li queda l’opci\u00f3 de mirar\u00a0 cap a l’Illa.<\/p>\n

L’Illa tindr\u00e0 un problema: amb l’escassa difer\u00e8ncia de vots i el mateix nombre de diputats, si vol un govern amb ERC haur\u00e0 de cedir en alguna q\u00fcesti\u00f3: la presid\u00e8ncia, per exemple, o compartir-la, un gest que francament no entendrien els socialistes de m\u00e9s enll\u00e0 de l’Ebre.<\/p>\n

L’independentisme m\u00e0gic de Junts ja no comanda l’independentisme: la din\u00e0mica de Puigdemont, intolerant amb la diversitat, l’ha condu\u00eft a un rol secundari i a dependre de la hist\u00f2rica formaci\u00f3 ERC. Els vots del PDeCAT, Prim\u00e0ries… li haurien fet falta per posar-se al mateix nivell que els de Pere Aragon\u00e8s.<\/p>\n

Les esquerres reals, de la socialdemocr\u00e0cia a l’anticapitalisme m\u00e9s furibund, nom\u00e9s\u00a0 s\u00f3n teloners de l’acci\u00f3 pol\u00edtica. La for\u00e7a en l’opini\u00f3 p\u00fablica de moviments socials i lluites com la del dret a l’habitatge, no es tradueix pol\u00edticament al parlament.\u00a0 Per qu\u00e8? Potser haur\u00edem d’asseure’ns i donar-hi voltes.<\/p>\n

La davallada de Ciutadans \u00e9s her\u00e8ncia de la pol\u00edtica err\u00e0tica de l’aprenent de bruixot Albert Rivera i de la foto de C\u00f2lon. Un partit que podia ajudar en la formaci\u00f3 de governs sist\u00e8mics, com tradicionalment havia actuat l’FDP alemany, \u00e9s devorat per dues\u00a0 bandes, tant pel PSC, que recupera clientela, com per Vox que apareix com la reencarnaci\u00f3 del lepenisme<\/em> m\u00e9s identitari, on van a parar part de les classes obreres de l’\u00e0rea metropolitana. L’extrema dreta es nodreix de presumptes classes mitjanes amena\u00e7ades i destru\u00efdes per la crisi, en una situaci\u00f3 molt semblant a la que Trump va suposar per a molts votants obrers de les \u00e0rees industrials nord-americanes.<\/p>\n

No nom\u00e9s Ciutadans i Partit Popular han ajudat a crear un monstre, sin\u00f3 que, a m\u00e9s, han impedit la veritable creaci\u00f3 d’un bloc constitucionalista, o del 155. Han de ser conscients que, almenys a Catalunya, s\u00f3n irrellevants parlament\u00e0riament i, encara m\u00e9s greu, socialment.<\/p>\n

Seriosament, amb aquest marc parlamentari es poden impulsar pol\u00edtiques socials efectives i reals? Els moviments socials haurem d’actuar intel\u00b7ligentment i for\u00e7ar una pressi\u00f3 al carrer que, el dia d’avui, no existeix per fer present als pol\u00edtics que cal anar molt m\u00e9s enll\u00e0 del que fins ara s’ha fet per garantir els drets i una vida digna\u00a0 per a totes\u00a0 les persones.<\/p>\n

Per cert m\u00e9s enll\u00e0 de la pand\u00e8mia seguim en emerg\u00e8ncia clim\u00e0tica. Alg\u00fa ho recorda?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Primer de tot entonar un mea culpa: tal com s’havia desenvolupat, ja no la campanya, sin\u00f3 l’organitzaci\u00f3 de les eleccions era dels qui pensava que m\u00e9s d’una taula no es constituiria i que hi hauria\u00a0 problemes grossos durant les votacions.…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1122,"featured_media":1300767,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35531,35506,35528,35526],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1300766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-contingut-original-ca","category-europa-ca","category-opinions-ca","category-salut-ca"],"yoast_head":"\nCatalunya despr\u00e9s de Sant Valent\u00ed: I ara qu\u00e8?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Primer de tot entonar un mea culpa: tal com s'havia desenvolupat, ja no la campanya, sin\u00f3 l'organitzaci\u00f3 de les eleccions era dels qui pensava que m\u00e9s\" 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